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Tax-Aware Retirement Modeling

Tax treatment is what separates a textbook FIRE projection from one that actually pays your bills in retirement. A dollar in a 401(k) is not the same dollar as one in a Roth — and a Bitcoin sat held more than a year is taxed differently than dividends or muni-bond interest. This page does two things: it points you to the right calculator for where you are, and it runs a Roth-vs-Traditional decision in a single click.

If you already know which calculator you want, jump straight in. Otherwise the Roth/Traditional tool below answers the most common tax-aware planning question in under a minute.

Bucket C

Basic — 5 Assets

Cash, equities, bonds, Bitcoin, primary residence. Best for households early in the journey who want a clean overall picture without tax-account complexity.

Open the 5-asset FIRE calculator →

Bucket D · Most Common

Intermediate — 12 Assets

Adds the tax-advantaged accounts most people actually have: 401(k), Roth IRA, Traditional IRA, HSA, 529, I-bonds, rental property. Tags every line Taxable / Tax-Deferred / Tax-Free so your post-tax spendable number is real.

Open the 12-asset FIRE calculator →

Bucket E

Advanced — 35 Assets

Full coverage: 401(k), Roth, SEP, 529, HSA, I-bonds, multiple rentals, alts, private real estate, annuities, collectibles, cash-value insurance, Bitcoin sleeves. For households with a tax preparer involved.

Open the 35-asset FIRE calculator →

Roth vs Traditional — single contribution comparison

Plug in the contribution, the holding period, the return, and the two tax rates. The model compounds the contribution, applies the right tax treatment on the way in and on the way out, and tells you which bucket left you with more spendable cash at the end.


Tax-treatment cheat sheet

Account Contribution Growth Withdrawal RMDs?
Traditional 401(k) / IRA Pre-tax Tax-deferred Ordinary income Yes (age 73)
Roth 401(k) / IRA After-tax Tax-free Tax-free Roth IRA no, Roth 401(k) no (after 2024)
HSA Pre-tax Tax-free Tax-free for qualified medical No
529 Plan After-tax (state deductions vary) Tax-free Tax-free for qualified education No
Taxable brokerage (long-term) After-tax Annual taxable dividends LTCG (0/15/20%) No
Bitcoin (self-custody, >1yr) After-tax Untaxed until sold LTCG (0/15/20%) No
I-Bonds / Treasuries After-tax Federal deferred until redemption; state-exempt Federal ordinary income No
Primary residence equity After-tax Untaxed unless rented Sec. 121 — up to $250K/$500K gain exempt No